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Thursday, October 22, 2026
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Polls, Fraud and the Final 12 Days: Where Minnesota’s Governor Race Stands

Twelve days before Minnesota elects its first female governor, the race has narrowed to a single question: who do voters trust to clean up the $9 billion fraud…

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Amy Klobuchar speaking at a campaign event

Twelve days before Minnesota elects its first female governor, the race has narrowed to a single question: who do voters trust to clean up the $9 billion fraud scandal?

Democrat Amy Klobuchar and Republican Lisa Demuth met in their only televised debate on Wednesday night, and fraud dominated from the first question. Demuth vowed to “fire all commissioners” on day one; Klobuchar, the former prosecutor, promised to “send those fraudsters to jail.”

The dynamic favours the challenger. When the central issue is a scandal that happened on the incumbent party’s watch, the outsider’s message writes itself. Demuth’s line, “A vote for Amy Klobuchar is a vote for a Tim Walz third term,” is designed to make the race a referendum on the status quo.

Klobuchar’s counter

Klobuchar’s response is to separate herself from the governor: “I don’t like the status quo. I hate the status quo,” she said, conceding that “Tim Walz should have caught the fraud earlier.” It is an awkward straddle, distancing from an ally without disowning the party.

The historic dimension adds weight. Minnesota has never elected a woman governor; Demuth would also be the first Black governor. Both candidates know that history is watching.

The final stretch

With national figures deploying across the map, as Vance’s Ohio campaign shows, Minnesota is no exception. The DHS decision on deportation protections is another late twist, and MNN’s debate recap captures a race defined by accountability.

The polls will tighten. The question is whether they tighten enough.

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